A Synoptic Climatology of Episodic, Subseasonal Retractions of the Pacific Jet
نویسندگان
چکیده
Twenty-eight years of NCEP–NCAR reanalysis data are employed in a composite analysis of the structure and evolution of the large-scale circulation associated with rapid, subseasonal, westward retractions of the Northern Hemisphere Pacific jet. Nineteen Pacific jet retractions are identified in the dataset. The salient characteristics of these transitions are presented, emphasizing the structure and evolution of anomalies in the zonal wind, upper-tropospheric geopotential height, sea level pressure (SLP), and tropopause potential vorticity (PV). The composite analysis demonstrates that as the jet retracts, a transition from a dominant negative anomaly to a dominant positive anomaly across the North Pacific in both the 500-hPa geopotential height and SLP fields occurs in;10 days. The resulting anticyclonic anomalies are sprawling and intense with SLP anomalies of nearly 20 hPa and 500-hPa geopotential height anomalies of more than 200 m. The vertical superposition of these upperand lower-level anomalies indicates that these composite structures are equivalent barotropic. These results are also consistent with the composite 200–250-hPa Ertel PV anomaly field, in which a jet retraction event is characterized by the formation of a zonally elongated, meridionally oriented PV anomaly couplet in the central North Pacific that becomes increasingly isotropic in the jet exit region simultaneous with the retraction of the jet. Because of the large spatial scale of these events, the results are also discussed in the context of storm-track variability, the East Asian winter monsoon, and tropical diabatic heating anomalies.
منابع مشابه
Summer precipitation determinant factors of Iran's South-East
Indian Ocean is known as a source of moisture for southeast of Iran due to summer precipitation. In this study, in order to investigate the role of SST of Indian Ocean, and the convergence and divergence fields in the precipitation of southeast of Iran, precipitation data of five synoptic stations were used during 2000-2010, including Iranshahr, Khash, ChahBahar, Zabul, and Saravan. To investig...
متن کاملSub-seasonal tropical cyclone genesis prediction and MJO in the S2S dataset
Subseasonal probabilistic prediction of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis is investigated here using models from the seasonal to subseasonal (S2S) dataset. Forecasts are produced for basin-wide TC occurrence at weekly temporal resolution. Forecast skill is measured using the Brier skill score relative to two no-skill climatological forecasts: an annual mean climatology that is constant through the ...
متن کاملA synoptic-climatology approach to increase the skill of numerical weather predictions over Iran
Simplifications used in regional climate models decrease the accuracy of the regional climate models. To overcome this deficiency, usually a statistical technique of MOS is used to improve the skill of gridded outputs of the Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models. In this paper, an experimental synoptic-climatology based method has been used to calibrate, and decrease amount of errors in GFS...
متن کاملSynoptic climatology and the analysis of atmospheric teleconnections
Over recent decades, analyses of the structure and impact of atmospheric teleconnections have substantially increased our understanding of the climate system and the role of climate variability. Moving beyond simple correlations between teleconnection indices and temperature and precipitation anomalies, synoptic climatology has been able to provide insight on the spatiotemporal manifestation of...
متن کاملThe selection of the best from climate change model in the estimation of climatology variables for east region of the country by use fifth report data
Climate change is nowadays a major cause of concern in water related fields because it may cause more severe, shortened or prolonged droughts or floods in the future. In this research was tried to the best model of climate change is determined from the climate change models to determining the minimum temperature, maximum temperature and precipitation for the Birjand synoptic station. For this r...
متن کامل